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Download e-book for kindle: Bayesian Artificial Intelligence by Kevin B. Korb

By Kevin B. Korb

ISBN-10: 1439815917

ISBN-13: 9781439815915

Up to date and extended, Bayesian man made Intelligence, moment variation presents a pragmatic and obtainable advent to the most ideas, beginning, and purposes of Bayesian networks. It specializes in either the causal discovery of networks and Bayesian inference strategies. Adopting a causal interpretation of Bayesian networks, the authors talk about using Bayesian networks for causal modeling. in addition they draw all alone utilized examine to demonstrate numerous purposes of the know-how. New to the second one version New bankruptcy on Bayesian community classifiers New part on object-oriented Bayesian networks New part that addresses foundational issues of causal discovery and Markov blanket discovery New part that covers tools of comparing causal discovery courses Discussions of many universal modeling blunders New functions and case experiences extra assurance at the makes use of of causal interventions to appreciate and cause with causal Bayesian networks Illustrated with genuine case experiences, the second one version of this bestseller keeps to hide the basis of Bayesian networks. It offers the weather of Bayesian community know-how, automatic causal discovery, and studying chances from facts and exhibits tips to hire those applied sciences to enhance probabilistic professional structures. net ResourceThe book’s web site at www.csse.monash.edu.au/bai/book/book.html deals a number of supplemental fabrics, together with instance Bayesian networks and information units. teachers can e-mail the authors for pattern options to a few of the difficulties within the textual content.

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Sample text

We shall also present Bayesian methods for the same, together with some evidence of their superiority. The interpretation of the probabilities represented by Bayesian networks is open so long as the philosophy of probability is considered an open question. Indeed, much of the work presented here ultimately depends upon the probabilities being understood as physical probabilities, and in particular as propensities or probabilities determined by propensities. Nevertheless, we happily invoke the Principal Principle: where we are convinced that the probabilities at issue reflect the true propensities in a physical system we are certainly going to use them in assessing our own degrees of belief.

For Bayesian decision analysis see Richard Jeffrey’s The Logic of Decision (1983). DeGroot and Schervish (2002) provide an accessible introduction to both the probability calculus and statistics. Karl Popper’s original presentation of the propensity interpretation of probability is (Popper, 1959). This view is related to the elaboration of a probabilistic account of causality in recent decades. Wesley Salmon (1984) provides an overview of probabilistic causality. Naive Bayes models, despite their simplicity, have done surprisingly well as predictive classifiers for data mining problems; see Chapter 7.

First, the Bayesian network technology is primarily oriented towards handling discrete state variables, for example the inference algorithms of Chapter 3. Second, for most purposes continuous variables can be discretized. For example, temperatures can be divided into ranges of ±5 degrees for many purposes; and if that is too crude, then they can be divided into ranges of ±1 degree, etc. Despite our ability to evade probabilities over continuous variables much of the time, we shall occasionally need to discuss them.

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Bayesian Artificial Intelligence by Kevin B. Korb

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