By Mac Lane, Birkhoff, Delorme, Lavit, Mezard, Raoult
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Extra resources for Algèbre, solutions developpees des exercices, 3eme partie, Les grands theoremes [Algebra]
But if you do know, you can use this information along with the Poisson formula to get a quite accurate idea of, for example, in what percentage of years there would be no deaths due to horse kicks, in what percentage of years there would be one such death, in what percentage of years two, in what percentage three, and so on. Likewise you could predict the percentage of years in which there would be no desert rainstorms, one such storm, two storms, three, and so on. In this sense, even very rare events are quite predictable.
Inspect every piece of pseudoscience and you will find a security blanket, a thumb to suck, a skirt to hold. What have we to offer in exchange? Uncertainty! Insecurity! —Isaac Asimov in the tenth-anniversary issue of The Skeptical Inquirer To follow foolish precedents, and wink with both our eyes, is easier than to think. —William Cowper INNUMERACY, FREUD, AND PSEUDOSCIENCE Innumeracy and pseudoscience are often associated, in part because of the ease with which mathematical certainty can be invoked to bludgeon the innumerate into a dumb acquiescence.
This fact—that (conditional) probabilities change according to the composition of the remaining portion of the deck—is the basis for various counting strategies in blackjack that involve keeping track of how many cards of each type have already been drawn and increasing one's bet when the odds are (occasionally and slightly) in one's favor. I've made money at Atlantic City using these counting strategies, and even considered having a specially designed ring made which would enable me to count more easily.
Algèbre, solutions developpees des exercices, 3eme partie, Les grands theoremes [Algebra] by Mac Lane, Birkhoff, Delorme, Lavit, Mezard, Raoult